Talking Jesus Is From China - Is He Made of Lead?

December 11, 2007

 

The genius that is capitalism and religion have paired up to offer the Talking Jesus doll at Wal-Mart and Target (Source). Indeed, I just heard about it on NPR…

Of course, the easy media angle is whether Jesus will out compete traditional toys, i.e. will kids play with it? Some even call it the next religious Tickle-Me-Elmo. Whatever…too easy. Softball news garbage. The next easiest controversy is whether it’s some kind of heresy to make a Jesus doll in the first place. Another whatever.

What I immediately thought of is whether Talking Jesus was made in China, whether he was made of plastic (PVC - poly-vinyl-chloride), and if he would be dogged by the lead controversy.

Wouldn’t that be fitting? It’s cheap toy crap, no matter what veil you put on it…And the religious do-gooders couldn’t think ahead of short-term cheapness.

In fact, he is made of PVC and is made in China. I can’t answer the lead question without an independent laboratory test, but it wouldn’t surprise me one bit…The toy recalls for plastic toys made in China are an obvious source to base that on (NYTimes).

Who cares about PVC? Well, to start it’s not exactly safe to produce (Building Green). And PVC can contain phlalates to make it flexible/pliable, which course aren’t very good to ingest, ala BPA plastic concerns.

This isn’t new, just newly discovered. A few years ago I bought a measuring tape at Target that was plastic and a sticker on the box, saying it contained lead and I should wash my hands after using. I returned it.

So how about it? Can someone test Jesus to see if he’s made of lead?

 


Welcome to Mount Rainier, Maryland (near Washington DC)

August 28, 2007

So you’ve decided to move to Mount Rainier, Maryland?

Congratulations on finding the best, undiscovered city outside of Washington D.C. Housing prices are reasonable (for DC), there’s a metro within walking distance (17 minutes to Chinatown), it’s a friendly walkable neighborhood where you get to know your neighbors, and there’s no real mountain. Takoma Park at half the price and twice the diversity…

This guide should help you in finding your way (and if anyone has suggestions, make a comment below and I’ll incorporate it)…

Statistics

Even with all the single family homes, apparently Mount Rainier has the highest population density in Maryland, over 12,000 people per square mile (of course the total area is only 0.65 square miles).

Basics

Community

Outside

Other Links

Want to live here? Find a home in Mount Rainier.


A CitizenRE Competitor (but no FREE! solar)

August 27, 2007

[Update 1/8/08: Helio Micro is now moving into the residential PPA market, creating a third residential PPA style company.  Their website is more murky than Sun Run (below), so you can't evaluate much of anything (which always causes me pause), but they just hired a finance director from SunPower (Solarbuzz article).   To my knowledge, none of the three has installed a system under this model...yet.  Remember: hype (!) = cover-up.  This will happen in California first and then trickle elsewhere - don't hold your breath.  NJ just voted to provide rebates to everyone on the waiting list, but not anyone new as they transition to a market incentive, which is good in the long run, but creates market uncertainty now (article).  So their market attractiveness to this model is on hold.]

According to a news release on Renewable Energy Access, CitizenRE now has a competitor in the residential solar-leasing services industry (of which there are no documented installations as of yet). It isn’t FREE! but I predict they’ll beat CitizenRE to the punch in having actual solar installations…

Borrego Solar, a solar installer since 1980, has a partnership with Sun Run LLC and is now offering a similar solar-leasing product to CitizenRE, but they have a bit of realism embedded in their business plan. It is currently only available in Contra Costa County, California on a pilot basis (not EVERYWHERE for ANYONE!).

Essentially, they install a solar system on your home and if it offsets your electric bill 50%, you pay 50% to your electric company at their prices and 50% to Sun Run at their prices, which are either fixed or declining.

Sun Run’s website has some information about the process on their website (no contracts or clear costs persay) and there are two options:

1. Higher downpayment with a fixed 20 year solar rate

2. Lower downpayment with a higher but declining solar rate

The solar rate they give in their example, shows the higher down payment of just over $16,185 (not FREE!) and a solar rate of 13.5 cents/kilowatt-hour, which seems expensive but California has high rates (actually, even in Maryland, I pay 15 cents/kWh). It should be noted that the $16K down payment is still $20K less than buying it yourself, based on their math.

Before solar, this example home pays 26 cents/kWh to the electric company, and after, they pay 17 cents/kWh to the electric company (since they’re now in a lower rate tier with solar because they are consuming less) and 13.5 cents/kWh to SunRun at a 20-year fixed rate.

If electric rates never rose, you would break even on this investment over 20 years if you used over 23,000 kWh/yr, not counting the cost of money (that’s a lot - I use 3600 kWh in DC). So, you are really banking on electric rates rising to recoup your up-front investment on a quicker basis, and using a lot of electricity (but cut your electric bills first!).

The second option doesn’t have an example on their website, but would be something like paying $8,000 up front and your solar rate being 18 cents/kWh in year 1, and declining to 13 cents/kWh in year 20, when conventional electricity prices are presumably much higher. Ultimately, the economics are probably the same for either option for the company but gives the homeowner the option to make a choice on the amount up-front.

On it’s face, this sounds like a much more reasonable alternative to CitizenRE:

  • No hype
  • Actual employees
  • Financial numbers that are realistic (not FREE!)
  • Pilot program to prove the model
  • Working with an established solar company
  • Limiting the scope to states/markets that make sense

There are only a few places where some combination of electric rates, amount of sun, and solar incentives make this possible - California, New Jersey (when they aren’t running out of incentive money), maybe Arizona, Nevada, or New Mexico. Hawaii has sun and rates but not incentives. The East Coast has high rates, some programs, but less sun. Colorado’s sunny and has incentives, but the rates are a bit too low (and they may run out of $/motivation soon if they aren’t careful by growing too fast).

Like with all things, if it sounds like a silver bullet, things are almost always more complicated than they seem. I know nothing about either of these new companies, but on their face, the programs have a measure of realism to them that CitizenRE never had (note past tense).

As has been pointed out in the past, this is only “new” because it’s being done on homes, which are higher cost per amount of solar installed. Large business no-cost solar systems are a common part of the solar industry in California and New Jersey already.

This provides an interesting reference for how much CitizenRE would have to further reduce costs to get to their goal of a $500 down payment and solar across the country. Just to operate in California, they’ll have to deal with the over $15,000 they’re not getting from the customer, and in other states, the lower electric rates and solar resource. My original 3 part series on CitizenRE can be read here - “Not All That’s Renewable Is Green - Part 1 of 3″.


Rotten Tomatoes Movie Review Kickback Fee

June 8, 2007

Rotten Tomatoes is a movie review site, and a quite good one at that. I love to buy tickets online but HATE the service fees (kind of like concert service fees). But I’ll tell you what’s a little rotten. For every movie ticket they sell through Rotten Tomatoes, they’re pocketing 50 cents from MovieTickets.com and not telling you about the little kickback. How do I know?

When I went to buy a ticket to “Knocked Up” through Rotten Tomatoes, I was charged $1.50 (click to enlarge):

But when I went to buy it straight from Consolidated Theaters (the owners), I was only charged $1.00 (click to enlarge):

Maybe it matters. Maybe it doesn’t. But now you know…

 


Renting solar panels - too good to be true?

January 26, 2007

[Update 8/27/07: CitizenRE now has a competitor...]

There is a lot of internet hype out CitizenRE, a multi-level marketing company that intends to rent solar panels to homeowners for the same price of electricity you pay to your electric company. Sounds great, right? Low or no money down and a solar system on every roof. Maybe too good…

Most interested people have either environmental intentions, economic motivations, or both. Solar electricity is your LAST priority for the environment and your bottom line. Solar is sexy, cool, and holds great promise, BUT if you weighed the costs and benefits, for the average homeowner, there are many things they should be otherwise doing - buying a more efficient car, putting in CFL lightbulbs, becoming a vegetarian, etc.

There’s always a balance between getting in on a “deal” and “too good to be true.” A deal on a car is one thing. Everyone buys a car, understands what a car does, how they’re made, where they come from, and has relatively good information about the transaction. How many people understand solar panels, how they work, are made, etc?

There is very little concrete information about this company other than “rah rah” and hype. They are recruiting salespeople through newspapers, Craigslist, and blogs. There is very little critical analysis, but here are two blogs that aren’t just sliced-bread:

EE/RE Investing (somewhat supportive of CitizenRE)

Advertising “Interview,” i.e. softball questions and answers (from CitizenRE themselves)

Renewable Energy Now (skeptical of CitizenRE)

I am a skeptic of CitizenRE in particular (though the business model will certainly emerge in the future). Here are the big questions:

1. Where is this 500 MW plant being built and is it under construction now? Where are they getting scarce raw silicon supplies? Why hasn’t anyone in the industry heard of this plant? Where is the money coming from?

2. Where are they developing an installer network? Will they be NABCEP certified? Why would existing dealers with their own businesses want to join this network?

3. They claim to be able to install in any state with net metering and a retail price over 7 cents/kWh. As such, they are willing to accept wildly variable profit rates - different electric companies and states have very different economic conditions. Is this realistic? Are they really doing business in every state with net metering?

4. Two companies in the US offer this same “rental” model on a commercial level (SunEdison, MMA Renewable Ventures) but only at a scale of at least 500 kilowatts or larger, i.e. over 200 times bigger than a home. This model is still emerging and developing and other large companies are considering getting into it on large installation. Why would CitizenRE have struck upon something that these companies haven’t at a size 1/200 of what is typically economical?

5. Why is there such a lack of information? Wouldn’t transparency help them answer these kinds of questions to the industry? Why has no one in the industry heard of them? Why aren’t they at solar conferences presenting their information? Why the hype and unrealistic dates and targets? (Proprietary jargon doesn’t cut it - the construction of a manufacturing plant can’t really be hidden.)

More to come as I put out feelers to some industry contacts…

UPDATE:

I don’t doubt the business model. I think it has everything a consumer could want - no risk, economic sense, etc. Like I mentioned above, it’s happening in the commercial, i.e. large, markets. It’s not a matter of “if” but “when”. But either we have the next Google on our solar hands (believe me, prove me wrong), or the entire solar industry has been grossly overlooking something.

In fact, the entire energy industry would be wrong. Why aren’t heat pumps, wind turbines, and even regular old furnaces managed this way? The answer: capital. If they get 10,000 people to do this at 3 kilowatts each, they need at least $150,000,000 to set-up systems on people’s houses. Add in a 500 MW manufacturing plant, worth another few hundred million…

They must have the Google Foundation as one of their funders…In fact, that’s my prediction. Somebody big has to be behind this (although their marketing leak/rumor strategy sucks). And 10,000 people banging down the door come October, won’t be fun to deal with.


Global Rich List

January 18, 2007

There are a lot of websites out there with various gimmics and information, but every so often one is interesting enough to pass along…the Global Rich List tries to put affluence into perspective, because guess what? The American experience is unique and almost everyone else doesn’t live like us.

Make $10,000/yr (minimum wage)? You’re in the top 13% richest people!

Make $50,000? You’re in the top 1% of richest people. That means you’re in the top 60,000,000 people in the world, which also means that there are more than 5.4 billion people poorer than you are. (Frankly this seems a little bit off and further research tends to show that this is an overestimation, i.e. it’s not quite that high.) But none-the-less, I think the point is still trending to be valid…even a relatively small salary by Western standards is still a lot compared to everyone else.


Local Currency: Anacostia Hours

December 20, 2006

We just moved to Washington DC…Maryland actually. When we were looking at the house in June, we met the neighbor, who is helping to lead an effort to bring a local currency to the neighborhood, dubbed “Anacostia Hours” (click for website). Modeled on the “Ithaca Hours” project in Ithaca, New York (which is in the northeast part of the country for the 50% of Americans that can’t identify New York on a map), local citizens and businesses offer goods and services in exchange for US money, Anacostia Hours, or some combination of both. A $75 acupuncture appointment might be paid in $50 US currency and 2 Anacostia Hours. The directory of businesses can be viewed online:

Anacostia Hours Directory (PDF)

What’s the point? Mainly to create a local currency that emphasizes local talents and products. I might offer to paint at someone’s house and then exchange those dollars for cat-sitting services from a neighbor, who might use it get coffee at the local cafe. Interestingly, they have a board that issues the amount of currency, depending on the circulation, and adjusts for inflation. The Maryland Gazette wrote this article on the project.

My services?

Home Energy Consultation.

1. Electricity bills too high?

2. Should you buy new windows to cut your heating bill?

3. Is solar energy right for you?

Basic fee? $50 for the initial 1-2 hour consultation, which includes an assessment of your home and energy bills, with a short report including recommendations for action. I guarantee you’ll make the money back in the first year or it’s free. Additional consultation on offsetting your global warming pollution, choosing a more efficient car, or building a new home or addition are available on a case-by-case basis.

 

At my Minnesota home my electricity bill averaged $15-20 and in our new Maryland home they average $30-35 (electricity prices are higher here and next summer not withstanding). My cost $25 in dollars or hours. My promise? If I can’t save you $25 in 1 year, it’s free. Email: info AT organic-blue DOT com

 


Jim Cramer - Mad Money

November 27, 2006

Jim Cramer from MSNBC’s Mad Money likes to huff and puff a lot about different stocks, which makes him a target for overenthusiastic Americans looking to make easy money. As with most things in life, there’s a story behind the story…

1. Don’t Buy Cramer Picks Until a Week Later - you’ll lose money in the short term if you buy the day after he recommends something. Read this summary of a study: “Can you make money from Jim Cramer’s picks?

2. CramerWatch.org - pitts Cramer versus a monkey in picking stocks, which is always a good time. The monkey is apparently better over the short-term.

3. Give Limited Data - If you want to see Mad Money picks, there are many websites that track them diligently. Interestingly, Jim appears to be giving you the straight deal by showing you his best and worst picks and their performance. Unfortunately, the data doesn’t go back very far. His “best” picks are no more than a month old, hardly long enough to be a safe investment for the average consumer, especially given the timing and monkey issues.

4. On a personal note, Jim Cramer lives in this $3+ million dollar house in Summit, New Jersey:

Personally speaking, I think most people are better off going with the buy-and-hold strategy of a diversified portfolio over the long-term. Chasing excitement rarely works out, unless you are willing to really put the time and effort into it. Short-cutting your time and effort using a TV show that a few hundred thousand other people also use, probably isn’t going to find any diamonds…


Obnoxious Salaries

November 7, 2006

Alex Rodriguez is getting ripped off…

NFL

Michael Vick was the highest paid player in the NFL in 2005, getting paid $23,102,750. He threw the ball 387 times and ran the ball 102 times, for a total of 489 offensive plays. That’s $47,244 per play. He played in 15 games that are typically 60 minutes long for a total of 900 minutes or about $25,670 per minute.

MLB

Alex Rodriguez made $26 million in 2005. He batted 605 times and got on base (hit or walk) 285 times and he fielded the ball 403 times (assists and putouts) for a total of 1008 offensive and defensive plays. That’s $25,794 per event. He played in 162 games at about 3.5 hours per game, which is $754 per minute.

NBA

Last season, Shaquille O’Neal was paid $20 million. He played in 59 games, scoring 1,181 points 1,805 minutes, which is $16,935 per point or $11,080 per minute.


Solar Energy Billions

October 25, 2006

Silicon valley is famous for semi-conductors.  But now the silicon is being put to a different use - photovoltaics.  And how.  Fifty percent of the global silicon supplies are now used for solar electricity, creating supply-demand problems and rising prices.  But with high demand and resulting profits, comes innovation then growth then money, on the order of trillions of dollars…time will tell.  “Lighting up the $1 trillion power market” from CNN.com.